I AM A BUYER OF THIS MARKET AND READY TO TAKE THE RIDE DOWN TO S&P 1040 WHERE THERE IS A HORIZONTAL SUPPORT. THE RISK REWARD EQUATION LOOKS BETTER THAN IT WAS ON JAN1.
Bullish Argument
- Majority of the companies reported great results and boosted outlook
- Better than expected GDP
- Re-election of Ben Bernanke
- Most importantly, everyone is scared for Greece and Obamanomics!! EU won't let anything happen to Greece
- Economy growth will slow down when the stimulus is out the system. I agree with that to some extent but we are not going back to the stone age!!!
- China is tightening lending to control the growth which is out of control at this point. Hitting the commodity stocks hard.
- DC DC DC DC DC... What can I say!!!! Obama needs to understand his game... I think he is not on top of his game after Mass defeat and saying populist things which are creating uncertainty.
I have been reasonably successful in minimizing my losses and preserving by just focusing these simple investment strategies which are easy to understand but hard to implement.
1: When big boys (mutual funds/institutions/pension funds etc) fight it out; you either stay with them or stay out.
Lets be honest. As an individual investor we can't move the market. I don't care how fundamentally correct we are in picking the individual stocks. I personally hate shorting the stocks which I fundamentally like, so when the market is going down on huge volumes (Funds selling) I stay on the sidelines and look for opportunities to buy good companies at a cheaper price.
2: Look for companies who announced great results, boosted outlook, and still trading down due to lack of buying or institutional selling pressure
Recently Amazon announced blockbuster results but the stock got hammered. Goldman, Apple, GOOG are all in the same category. Why??? Because these are the most loved stocks and up more than 80% in 2009. People are taking profits and raising cash for next big opportunity of 2010. I think all these companies deserves a look at the range they are trading.
3: Don't be afraid to take losses!!!
This is the single most important thing to remember as an investor. Everyone hates to lose their hard earned money but cash creates opportunity. No one can get all the trades right and the art is to realize a bad trade early, take the losses and re-invest the cash in a better trade. I have just done that during this 5% correction. Flushed out my bad trades and now I have cash to put in much better companies and position for rebound.